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Perfect fuel storm in the road freight & logistics industry

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Truck on open road at sunset

No-one would have thought that we would see such increases in the fuel price as we have experienced over the past six months. As we reel from these increases, the possibility of one of the greatest price increases (in South Africa) that we have ever seen, is looming.

Oil has risen to the $114 (around) per barrel mark, the Rand is trading in the R16 range (or so) and the effect is a sky-rocketing price for fuel in South Africa. It has an impact on every single item that is transported to and across South Africa.

Oh yes, those ships also use fuel, and those tariffs are rising. There are still fewer ships plying the seas (thanks to Covid) and there are constraints in the global logistics chains that not only articulate into delays, but into demand, which has an upward price-pressure effect.

Once goods are landed, they then find their way to either consumers or manufacturers via the dependable road transport network, and that is where the next leg of the logistics journey is impacted by fuel (oil) increases. We have all felt, and will continue to feel for some time, the effects of more expensive fuel.

Now to the “Perfect Storm”: With the oil price and Rand value vis-à-vis the Dollar being what they are, there are reports that the fuel price for June will see an increase of between R1.70 to R2.00 – depending on the commodity (product). However, the “relief” offered by the government to reduce the level of taxation on the price of fuel (by around R1.50 per litre) is due to fall away at the end of May – just in time to join the new price increase.

This means a price increase of around R3.20 (a rough estimate, given all that is currently in play) by the first week of June. We cannot afford that. Or any other increases. We? Well, South Africa – but the first signs of despair and retreat will be within the road freight logistics sector.

Already, some transporters closed their doors due to the effects of the Covid pandemic. Financial pressures have remained on the increase, and the unrest that continues to ferment, radically shown by the violent period in July 2021 when the whole logistics chain was attacked (trucks, depots, distribution centres, warehouses and retails stores), continues to wear down companies and cause more closures. Operating costs within the road freight and logistics sector have continued to increase exponentially, with many of these increases coming at a time when the road freight industry can least afford, or withstand, these shocks.

There are many transport companies that cannot keep facing the continual increase in operating costs and the recent fuel (diesel) price increases have become the final “nail in the coffin” for many of our transporters.

Uncontrolled fuel increases are the factor that can cause a collapse in the road freight logistics sector.

Whether we like it or not, transporters cannot absorb the cost of fuel increases. This puts them out of business very quickly, so the fuel increase must be passed on to the client (who pays for goods to be transported), which is then passed on to the consumer. Disposable funds are decreasing, consumers are being very careful about what they buy, with so-called essentials such as food, medication, power, water and accommodation now the focus for most consumers.

There have been calls for the taxes on fuel to be reduced or removed and “collected elsewhere”. Those options will not resolve the underlying issues:

  • The basic price of oil  – determined outside of South Africa through supply and demand, and
  • The Rand / Dollar exchange rate – determined by international financial view of South Africa

Solutions to the (expensive) fuel crisis could possibly be:

  • An agreement between African states producing oil (or refined products) for a far lower rate for African countries in the spirit of the Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA) and to ensure African economies do not collapse
  • Concentration by SASOL to produce far more fuel (was its goal in the 1970s and 1980s not to make South Africa independent of foreign oil supply?)
  • Development and growth of the synthetic fuels industry in South Africa – from all possible sources
  • Development of electric transportation devices and supply

Not only would we solve our transport energy consumption and demand challenges, we would definitely create employment (more importantly in a long-term and sustainable context) and would be heading in the right direction in terms of moving ourselves away from the reliance on fossil fuels.

Until then, our sole dependable form of goods distribution – from producers to manufacturers to market – will be under dire pressure and could collapse when many of our transporters close down operations, solely due to the unbearable cost of fuel. This will affect all transporters – big and small. By Gavin Kelly – Chief Executive Officer: The Road Freight Association

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Freight Forwarding

Transnet Reports Progress as Rail Volumes Rise and Freight Reforms Move Forward

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Close up of a railway line through the country side.

Transnet has reported a stronger financial and operational performance for the year ended 31 March 2026, with increased rail volumes, higher revenue and renewed progress on South Africa’s freight logistics reform programme.

In its annual results media statement, released on 10 September, the state-owned freight and logistics company reported revenue of R88.6 billion, a 7.1% increase on the previous year. Transnet also recorded a R4.6 billion profit, compared with a loss of R1.9 billion in the previous financial year.

The results suggest that some of the interventions introduced to improve the reliability of South Africa’s freight network are beginning to produce measurable gains. However, Transnet also acknowledged that significant operational and financial challenges remain.

Rail Volumes Show Signs of Recovery

Rail volumes increased by 4.9% to 167.9 million tonnes during the reporting period. Transnet attributed the improvement to focused interventions aimed at strengthening network reliability, improving maintenance execution and increasing asset availability. Pipeline volumes also increased during the year.

For customers relying on rail to move bulk commodities, minerals, manufactured goods and other freight, improved reliability can have an impact well beyond Transnet’s own results. More dependable rail services can support better production planning, reduce the need for alternative transport arrangements and improve the movement of goods between industrial areas, ports and export markets.

The company said that customers and industry stakeholders had begun to recognise improvements in rail performance and service delivery. It also noted positive feedback from the citrus sector regarding port operations and their contribution to improved export performance.

Despite this progress, Transnet’s operating environment remained difficult. The company identified derailments, rail network and rolling stock constraints, security incidents, equipment and power disruptions, adverse weather, resource shortages, community unrest and customer-related demand challenges among the issues affecting performance. The rail and port businesses were also impacted by R658 million in take-or-pay penalty adjustments.

Reinvent for Growth Remains Central to Recovery

Transnet’s recovery programme continues to be guided by its Reinvent for Growth strategy. The company said the strategy had supported targeted interventions focused on maintenance, asset reliability, operational discipline, technical capability, procurement and supply-chain efficiency.

These measures contributed to higher rail volumes, stronger cash generation and improved customer confidence, according to the statement. The broader objective is to create a more reliable and competitive freight system capable of supporting South Africa’s economic growth.

The challenge now is to ensure that these improvements are sustained. Freight customers require more than occasional operational gains. They need predictable services, consistent turnaround times and the confidence to plan production, inventory and exports around the available network.

Private Investment Changes the Port Landscape

One of the most significant developments during the year was the implementation of Transnet’s Private Sector Participation strategy through the Durban Gateway Terminal transaction.

Transnet disposed of a 49.999% interest in Durban Gateway Terminal to International Container Terminal Services Inc. (ICTSI) for R10.5 billion, with the transaction taking effect on 1 January 2026. The deal generated a reported profit on disposal of R12.5 billion, including a related fair-value adjustment.

Transnet retains a 50.001% shareholding in the terminal, while management control has transferred to ICTSI. The company described the transaction as an important step towards attracting private investment, improving operational performance and supporting the modernisation of South Africa’s port infrastructure.

The transaction also reflects a wider shift in the way the country is approaching freight logistics reform. Public infrastructure remains central to the system, but private-sector participation is increasingly being positioned as a way to bring in capital, technical expertise and operational capacity.

Infrastructure Investment Remains a Priority

Transnet invested R23.3 billion during the year in infrastructure, equipment renewal and operational improvements. The programme focused on the rail network, port performance, asset reliability and operational efficiency.

A further R14.8 billion in grant funding approved by National Treasury through the Budget Facility for Infrastructure is expected to support strategic rail and port projects. Transnet said the funding should assist infrastructure development, improve network performance and reduce future funding requirements.

For the freight industry, the value of this investment will ultimately be measured through practical outcomes: fewer disruptions, improved equipment availability, stronger port productivity and more consistent cargo flows.

Rail Reform Moves Towards Implementation

Transnet also reported progress on the structural reforms affecting South Africa’s freight rail system.

The accounting separation of Transnet Freight Rail into the Transnet Freight Rail Operating Company and the Transnet Rail Infrastructure Manager has been completed. The infrastructure manager is expected to play an increasingly important role in network quality, infrastructure management and reliability.

The company has also concluded rail access agreements with 11 train operating companies. The first private operators are expected to begin services during the 2026/27 financial year.

The introduction of third-party operators is intended to increase network utilisation, expand customer access and support additional freight volumes. Its success, however, will depend on the condition and capacity of the rail network, the effectiveness of access arrangements and the ability to coordinate different operators across shared infrastructure.

The Recovery is Underway, But the Pressure Remains

Transnet’s latest results point to progress, particularly in rail volumes, revenue generation and the implementation of freight reforms. Yet the company’s own statement makes clear that the recovery is taking place against a backdrop of equipment constraints, infrastructure challenges, security concerns and uneven demand.

The focus for the year ahead will be on improving operational reliability, increasing freight volumes, strengthening customer confidence and creating a safer and more efficient operating environment. Transnet also expects further progress in private rail participation and strategic infrastructure projects.

For South Africa’s logistics industry, the key question is whether these improvements can develop into a consistent change in the way goods move through the country. A stronger Transnet could reduce pressure on road freight, support exporters and improve the competitiveness of local industries. But that will depend on turning financial recovery and reform commitments into reliable day-to-day freight services.

Read the full Transnet annual results media statement (10 September)

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Freight Forwarding

A Terminal in Healing: SAFLA and the RFA Acknowledge the Movement Towards DGT Efficiency

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Shipping yard with stacked containers.

The South African Freight and Logistics Association (SAFLA) and the Road Freight Association (RFA) were present during the recent interaction between Durban Gateway Terminal (DGT) and relevant stakeholders and organisations that have operations or members processing cargo through the terminal.

Representatives of DGT and International Container Terminal Services Inc (ICTSI) were candid and open regarding challenges experienced – as well as what had been achieved in the period that Transnet had signed the agreement with ICSTI.

Whilst there are challenges, the terminal was functioning well – given the challenges experienced, and both DGT and ICTSI listened to comments from all present and noted that two processes were in place to address the operations at DGT. 

One was short term: this included the waiving of all terminal storage charges whilst the current set of challenges were experienced, and secondly, there was an accelerated programme to keep the various pieces of machinery operating at the best levels of safety and functionality, as was possible. Gensets had been brought in to deal with power disruptions.

In addition, DGT acknowledged the problems with the slot booking system and already had developed a solution to vastly improve the process – this was to be shared with all shareholders in due course for comment and implementation.

DGT also brought Transnet into the meeting to address certain aspects that had placed pressure on operational efficiencies.

Long-term plans: the Terminal requires significant refurbishment and upgrading / modernising to compete with the options of other ports on the Southern African continent. Much of the equipment needed has been ordered – but there are lengthy lead times in the delivery of the equipment.

“There are immediate short-term options – such as reducing the pressure on the terminal whilst upgrades and interventions are applied. Perhaps Transnet can lower container movement tariffs (from other ports) for a period, whilst DGT is brought to the level of efficiency required. As we have noted – transporters are carrying the costs of inefficiencies,” said Gavin Kelly, Chief Executive Officer of the RFA. “Fleets are standing without bookings while fixed costs run, drivers are queuing on Bayhead Road, and every standing hour ends up in the price of goods. Slot releases must match real capacity, and truck staging must be fast-tracked now. Without trucks, South Africa stops.”

“SAFLA is delighted at the waiving of storage charges whilst the current set of challenges are being experienced,” said Dave Logan of SAFLA. “This will meaningfully ease the burden on freight forwarders and their clients, and we welcome this gesture of good faith from DGT and ICTSI.”

SAFLA and the RFA stand ready to contribute member evidence and practitioner expertise to a joint recovery task team alongside DGT, Transnet, government and other industry bodies.

Gavin Kelly, CEO of the Road Freight Association, standing in front of a passing green freight truck.

Gavin Kelly, CEO of the Road Freight Association

Headshot of Dave Logan – Executive Officer of SAFLA.

Dave Logan – Executive Officer of SAFLA

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Logistics

Preparing South Africa’s Logistics Industry for 2030, Focused on Compliance, People, and Sustainability.

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Man using a tablet with a futuristic view of the logistics world as a freight ship, plane and trucks travel in the background.

By Harry Dimo, HR Director, BIL & Lawrence Aldworth, National Compliance and Risk Manager, BIL

Ask most logistics leaders what sustainability means, and the conversation quickly turns to emissions, electric vehicles and carbon reporting. While those issues matter, they’ve also created one of the industry’s biggest blind spots. Sustainability has become an environmental conversation when it should be a business one.

The logistics businesses that will thrive beyond 2030 will not simply be those with the lowest carbon footprint. They will be the organisations that embed sustainability into every aspect of their operations, from developing their people and embracing innovation to strengthening governance, ensuring compliance and building resilience.

For Harry Dimo, HR Director at Bidvest International Logistics, that journey starts with people: “We’re assessing the competencies required now and in the future so we can begin upskilling employees for where the business is going, not just where it is today.”

As automation, digitalisation and artificial intelligence continue to reshape supply chains, organisations must prepare employees to work alongside these technologies rather than be displaced by them. Future-ready businesses are identifying tomorrow’s skills today, investing in continuous learning and equipping people to adapt as customer expectations and business needs evolve. Investing in future capability is every bit as important as investing in greener technology.

“When people hear sustainability, they immediately think environmental. But sustainability is much broader than that. It’s about environmental, social and governance principles working together to create a business that is built to last,” says Lawrence Aldworth, National Compliance and Risk Manager at Bidvest International Logistics.

That broader definition is becoming increasingly important as customers raise their expectations. Organisations are no longer evaluated solely on price, service and operational capability. Increasingly, customers are assessing the environmental, social, and governance (ESG) maturity of companies, making responsible business practices a key competitive differentiator. Businesses that fail to evolve risk being excluded from future opportunities rather than simply falling behind competitors.

Sustainability is therefore not another initiative sitting alongside the business. It is the framework through which the business operates. Environmental responsibility protects natural resources. Good governance builds trust, accountability and resilience, while investment in people ensures organisations can respond to changing technologies, customer expectations and market demands.

Innovation and compliance are equally important. By empowering employees to contribute ideas and embrace technology, organisations create a culture of continuous improvement that strengthens operational performance, enhances customer outcomes and increases employee engagement.

As Harry explains: “Leadership can define the vision for the future, but it is our people who bring that vision to life every day. Preparing them for what comes next is one of the most important investments we can make.”

Compliance should also be viewed through a different lens. Too often perceived as a cost of doing business, effective governance creates measurable value by reducing operational risk, protecting customers’ products and strengthening confidence among organisations that increasingly expect responsible business practices from their logistics partners.

Lawrence adds: “Good compliance management reduces risk, which ultimately reduces cost. It also creates value for customers by protecting their products while they’re in our care.”

The organisations best positioned for the future are those that combine resilience with adaptability. They invest in capable people, encourage innovation, strengthen governance and continuously evolve to meet changing customer needs.

Sustainability is not just about protecting the planet’s future. It is about building organisations that are equipped to protect their people’s future, earn their customers’ trust, and adapt with confidence to whatever comes next. Businesses that embrace this broader definition of sustainability will not only remain relevant but also help shape the future of logistics.

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